Pankratova Nataliya D.

Algorithmic toolkit for system estimation and forecasting of the guaranteed CTS functioning are proposed, the basis of which is the information platform for technical diagnostics. Algorithmic toolkit for guaranteed CTS operating implements the proposed concept and strategy for solving the problem of guaranteed CTS operating under the influence of destabilizing risk factors and uncertainties of various nature using the principle of timely identification of causes and preventing the transition to an abnormal mode with the estimating the margins of permissible risk for CTS indications.

There are proposed the methodological, mathematical and algorithmic toolkit for the integrated system to ensure the security and survivability (ISSS) of complex technical systems (CES) functioning in real time based on the timely formation and implementation of decisions and unremovable threshold time limit for cycle control in abnormal conditions.

A methodological and methodical toolkit of information-expert foresight system for processing unstructured information was developed, which includes the development of approaches to the analysis of unstructured data for the foresight platform and development of methods for determining the semantic coloring for pieces of unstructured information.

There is proposed system control by operability, survivability and safety of complex technical systems (CTS) under the influence of destabilizing risk factors, the conceptual and information uncertainty as the system of timely decisions making on operational prevent potential accident and catastrophic situations.

1. State registration number of the theme - 0112U003164, NTUU "KPI" - 2523-p.
2. Supervisor - prof. Pankratova Nataliya D.
3. The essence of development, the main results.

Methodological, mathematical and algorithmic toolkit worked out to provide a guaranteed functioning of complex technical systems (CTS), an opportunity to form sufficiently informed decision based on the threshold time limit, the practical implementation of solutions to prevent accidents and disasters in terms of conceptual uncertainty and multifactor risks. Toolkit in the form of an information platform of technical diagnostics in real time is based on the proposed control strategy serviceability and safety of the CTS.

The information platform of scenario analysis in the form of the mathematical and software support of the decision of  foresight problems of identification promising directions of development at the level of large enterprises, industries and regions is developed.

The methodological, mathematical and algorithmical toolkit on providing the control by functioning and monitoring, operative diagnosis, evaluation and prediction of the permissible risk margin of the forecast abnormal, critical, extraordinary, emergency and catastrophic situations’ set in the complex technical systems’ (CTS) functioning dynamics under the conditions of the uncertainties and multifactorial risks is worked out.