Прогнозування

Algorithmic toolkit for system estimation and forecasting of the guaranteed CTS functioning are proposed, the basis of which is the information platform for technical diagnostics. Algorithmic toolkit for guaranteed CTS operating implements the proposed concept and strategy for solving the problem of guaranteed CTS operating under the influence of destabilizing risk factors and uncertainties of various nature using the principle of timely identification of causes and preventing the transition to an abnormal mode with the estimating the margins of permissible risk for CTS indications.

An information-analytical foresight system was developed for the problem of social disasters. This system is based on using scenario analysis methodology for timely detection of reasons, modeling, study and mitigation of consequences of social disasters, caused by different reasons, particularly catastrophes and terrorism.

Performed a comprehensive study of the casting, mechanical and special properties of heat-resistant and wear-resistant iron-based alloys in a wide range of chromium concentration, manganese, aluminum, carbon, titanium, and so on, are designed latest heat-resistant and wear-resistant alloys, depending on the specific operating conditions of the cast parts in extreme conditions . It created a database covering more than 600 brands of iron-based alloys, ferro alloys and all existing brands of steel and iron scrap.

The method of risk assessment was proposed for analysis the financial processes using the principles of systems analysis.

The method of system engineering of business-models of organizational systems from the financial-investment activity, based on methodology of the system analysis and system engineering which, unlike available methods, considers features of organizational system due to use of business-structure (formalizes essence of organizational system), ontology (formalizes a sphere of activity of organizational system) and process of business-modelling (regulates creation of business-models) is developed.

Done formalized mathematical description of modes of the subsystems of EPS upon which suggests a comprehensive approach to assessing the risk of emergency as an indicator of reliability of power supply, which is a combination of likelihood of electrical equipment failure in fuzzy information and outside disturbances with statistical modelling of modes of the subsystems of EPS that allows consider the random failure of electrical equipment, stochastic nature of the mode, material and other consequences.

A methodological approach to modeling the dynamic characteristics of the economic dimension of sustainable development for the administrative-territorial units of Ukraine.